Will a Seven-Day Ceasefire Bring Peace to Sudan?

The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) have agreed to a seven-day ceasefire starting Thursday, as the conflict in Sudan enters its third week. However, it is not clear if its credibility can be trusted, given the rampant violations that undermined previous agreements. The fighting, between rival generals Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, has already led to the displacement of over 100,000 people, while 300,000 people have been internally displaced. Currently, residents in parts of the capital, Khartoum, are facing intense clashes and heavy shelling, exacerbating the worsening humanitarian crisis, which may continue unabated, according to UN’s prediction of a rise to more than 800,000 people fleeing Sudan by the end of the year. The intensification of the fighting is undermining regional stability and threatens to tear apart Africa's third-largest nation. Leaders of Sudan’s warring factions have also agreed to a seven-day ceasefire, marking several broken previous attempts at ceasefires, with only days of relative peace, before violence escalated again.

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