The Unexpected War: Ukrainian Victory and Long-Term Conflict Feared

As the conflict over Ukraine between Russia and Ukraine enters its second year, the world has started to sit up and take notice. Once deemed impossible, experts have started to consider the risks of a long-term conflict and a potential Ukrainian victory.

Dan Reiter, a political scientist from Emory University and author of "how wars end" sums it up with a chilling statement. “No one, including me, has strong confidence about how or when the war will end.” Such caution underlines the highly uncertain nature of this protracted conflict.

Michael Kofman, an expert in the Russian military, warns that it is dangerous to "extrapolate the future trajectory of the conflict" based on current conditions. There are no certain predictions to the conflict, just ones determined by unknown circumstances.

An interesting turn of events is the increasing belief of a Ukrainian victory, embold

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